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Oct 20, 2013

Application of Bayes' Theorem in real life ;)

What does it mean when a girl smiles at you every time she sees you?


It's simple. Just use Bayes' theorem.

The probability she likes you is

P(like|smile) = \frac{P(smile|like)P(like)}{P(smile)}

P(like|smile) is what you want to know - the probability she likes you given the fact that she smiles at you.

P(smile|like) is the probability that she will smile given that she sees someone she likes.

P(like) is the probability that she likes a random person.

P(smile) is the probability that she will smile at a random person.

For example, suppose she just smiles at everyone. Then intuition says that fact that she smiles at you doesn't mean anything one way or another. Indeed, P(smile|like) = 1 and P(smile)=1, and we have 

P(like|smile) = P(like)

meaning that knowing that she smiles at you doesn't change anything.

At the other extreme, suppose she smiles at everyone she likes, and only those she likes. Then P(smile) = P(like) and P(smile|like) = 1.  Then we have

P(like|smile) = 1

and she is certain to like you.

In the intermediate case, what you need to do is find the ratio of odds of smiling at people she likes to smiles in general, multiply by the percentage of people she likes, and there is your answer.

The more she smiles in general, the lower the chance she likes you. The more she smiles at people she likes, the better the chance. And of course the more people she likes, the better your chances are.

Of course, how to actually determine these values is a mystery I have never solved.

Aug 26, 2013

WORLD'S LONGEST SUSPENSION BRIDGE

Akashi-kaikyo bridge

The Akashi-Kaikyo Bridge in Japan, currently the world's longest suspension span.

The Akashi Kaikyō Bridge, also known as the Pearl Bridge, links the city of Kobe on the mainland of

Aug 20, 2013

Primavera tutorial

In this post i'm  uploading another PDF which contains step by step tutorial for primavera.

Download:
Primavera tutorial

Like and share this Page if you find it useful.



Primavera P6 version 8

Oracle Primavera P6Version 8: Project and Portfolio Management

A comprehensive guide to managing projects,resources, and portfolios using Primavera P6,through version 8.2.
Download :
Primavera (Project Management)

May 7, 2013

Geotechnical engineering notes

short notes on Geotechnical Engineering
Geotechnical engineering notes

Project Planning and Management

The topics that i'm uploading today are generally not found in PPM books but they are essentially a part of B.Tech curriculum.
Topics are:

1. Construction Management and Accounts
2. Construction Planning.
3. Organisation
4. Construction Labour
5. Inspection and Quality Control
6. Contracts
7. Tender and Tender Notice
8. Accounts
9. Store

DOWNLOAD :

GPS and GIS


A geographic information system (GIS) is a system designed to capture, store, manipulate, analyze, manage, and present all types of geographical data. 

The Global Positioning System (GPS) is a space-based satellite navigation system that provides location and time information in all weather conditions, anywhere on or near the Earth where there is an unobstructed line of sight to four or more GPS satellites. The system provides critical capabilities to military, civil and commercial users around the world. It is maintained by the United States government and is freely accessible to anyone with a GPS receiver.

As small ppt on these topics is attached.

Download:
GPS AND GIS

Formula/pocket book

This is a must have book for every Civil Engineer... Altough by its size and no of pages it can not be called a pocket book.. but is an extremely useful book..
DOWNLOAD : Pocket book


Nov 13, 2012

Soil Composition and Classification

Lecture Notes from MIT on :

Soil Composition,
Index Properties
Soil Classification

Download:
Soil composition,Index Properties and Classification

Soil Structure and Environmental Effects

Lecture notes from MIT


These notes are from MIT

Topics:
Soil Structure
Clay water Forces
Effect of mineralogy and environmental factors

Download:

Nov 12, 2012

Lecture Notes

Hello Everyone,
First of all Happy Diwali to you all.
Today I'm adding a new section to my blog "LECTURE NOTES".
In this section I'll Provide Lecture notes on Various Topics of civil engineering.
If you need anything specific,Kindly post on Resource Request

Nov 3, 2012

Projects


Hello friends today i'm adding list of Projects that you can pursue for Major and Minor Projects..If you have list of more projects you can add them in comments below..



• VILLAGE SANITATION SYSTEM
• DESILITING OF TANKS
• LOW COST ROOFING TILES

Oct 18, 2012

CEMENT AND CONCRETE


                             Hello Friends.. 

I'm very glad to provide you with first installment of  IS codes...

I'm uploading all the IS codes of CEMENT AND CONCRETE..

No. of Standards :138

Oct 15, 2012

Basic Civil Engineering

Hello Friends today i'm adding a book on Basic Civil Engineering
This a very good book for the subjects of

  1. Building Construction
  2. Building Material
  3. Surveying
  4. Remote sensing
  5. Disaster Resistant Buildings  


Oct 9, 2012

Fluid Mechanics

This a very good book other than "Fluid mechanics by modi and seth"....This book is recommended for 3rd and 4th semester students for subject of Fluid Mechanics

Building Material


Hello everyone....today i'm uploading the book of Building Material by Dr. S.K.Duggal..This a very good book and contains info about IS Codes of materials also...This book is recommended for 3rd semester students for subject of building materials

Sep 26, 2012